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The Application of Plan Recognition in Monitoring the Money Flow for the Stock Market

Author: DuDaoGang
Tutor: HuGuangPeng
School: Jiangsu University of Science and Technology
Course: Computer Software and Theory
Keywords: Market areas Plan Recognition Action Extraction Sharing plans Manipulator approach
CLC: TP18
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2011
Downloads: 56
Quote: 0
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Abstract


Chinese stock market after two years of development has made achievements that attracted worldwide attention . The end of 2009 , market capitalization surpassed Japan to become the world's second largest market after the United States market, to achieve leapfrog development . But generally speaking, the Chinese stock market is still an emerging market , there are still many shortcomings. China's stock market is weak efficient market , affecting the price of securities of information to be made public from generating efficiency of damage , there is insider trading . For problems of China's stock market , domestic scholars have done a lot of research, such as the establishment dealer holding model , game analysis , and achieved certain results, but in practice still faces many problems. This article will introduce the idea of ​​planning identify areas of the stock market , and establish a monitoring system of the stock market main flow of funds . Plan recognition problem belongs to psychology and artificial intelligence, a cross-disciplinary , it relates to knowledge representation , knowledge, reasoning, non- monotonic logic , situation calculus , human interaction , knowledge mining and other aspects of knowledge . Since ordinary retail sale of disorder is difficult to change the trend of price , Price Change Makers is direct driven. Makers actively buying , stock prices rose , the dealer sold the stock prices. Makers of the manipulator approach reflected in the price trend on sharing plans , which give investors the opportunity to create a judge making intentions . We extracted from sharing plans Makers action , and according to the dealer's manipulator approach to establish planning, action by making observations to identify the makers intent. As with the retail dealer in the state of hostility , making of the knock down through other methods to impede its recognition , the paper gives the transaction data correction algorithm , and established a dealer Makers action plan under the fidelity function calculates the weighted target 's credibility. Finally, in recognition makers intent on the stock market on the basis of the monitoring of the main flow of funds , and through experiments to test the effectiveness of the algorithm , and achieved good results.

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CLC: > Industrial Technology > Automation technology,computer technology > Automated basic theory > Artificial intelligence theory
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