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China's real estate prices and the credit scale Relations

Author: LuLu
Tutor: FangZhuangZhi
School: Huazhong University of Science and Technology
Course: Finance
Keywords: Credit scale Real estate prices Evolutionary game theory
CLC: F832.4;F224
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2010
Downloads: 282
Quote: 0
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Abstract


Since 1998, China implemented the allocation of housing reform, China's real estate prices will remain largely a rising trend , especially in recent years, the cities of the rapid rise in real estate prices has attracted attention of the whole society . To control the rapid growth of China's real estate prices , the government also introduced a series of policies, but the trend of real estate prices has not been suppressed. This requires us to explore what is the role of the real estate market policy more effective. Based on China's real estate market supply and demand analysis , found that China's real estate in recent years, mainly due to high prices of real estate from the demand side . This paper studies the characteristics of China's real estate market of consumers , the introduction of evolutionary game model discussed in the purchase of consumer behavior irrational conditions, housing credit expansion on China's real estate prices rise mechanism. Credit expansion and further analysis of the impact on the real estate developers , as well as commercial banks in this process the role . We find that consumers in the purchase of a non- rational, real estate developers and commercial banking market advantage under the common pursuit of profit , the credit expansion lead to a lot of demand and lead to rapid increase in China's real estate market prices , and thus attract more capital inflows credit the positive feedback acts . Therefore, we believe that in our fast-rising real estate prices behind the phenomenon is accompanied by strong demand is expected to rise in price , while the loose credit policy to meet this demand and expectations. In this paper, a panel of 28 provinces and cities in the data on real estate prices and the relationship between the credit scale empirical study . Also found that China's real estate market, there is a reaction on the credit scale regional differences proposed credit policy focus on short-term results at the same time , should be based on long-term strategy for sustainable development , but also consider policy changes in different regions .

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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Economic calculation, economic and mathematical methods > Economic and mathematical methods
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