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Based on the System Dynamics Method to Study the Tianjin City Economic Development and Labor Migration

Author: ChengLiang
Tutor: SongYanTao
School: Hebei University of Science and Technology
Course: Management Science and Engineering
Keywords: Economic development Floating population System dynamics
CLC: F249.27
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2012
Downloads: 66
Quote: 0
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Abstract


In this paper, demography, system theory, management and labor economics theorywill be used. The goal of this study is Tianjin’s floating population and labor based oneconomic development. Find the equilibrium point in the control of the total populationand industrial structure is very important. The conclusions are:1.Tianjin’s total economy(1978Constant price)will be over720billion yuan in2020.The2005-2015decade was the fastest of the Tianjin Economic growth. After2015,theGDP will be slowdown.2.Compatible with the economic development of Tianjin,it’s labor demandfluctuations increased. Historically, a depression in the years1999-2004and Continued toincrease since2005. Although the increases of productivity squeeze part of the jobs, butthe demand for labor has not been reduced.3.Model set the Tianjin’s total population in2020is17million. This figure is realisticin the view of the demand for labor.4.Tianjin’s labor supply and demand has always been fluctuation situation in the pastyears and it will be the same way in the future.5.The population policy must not to too fast to compress the total population, toostrong to control the floating population size.6.In order to achieve the goal of Tianjin economic and population coordinateddevelopment,achieve the goal of adequate labor force and the full employment of labor,reduce social conflicts, administrative means actively involved in the control populationand economic systems is becoming very essential.

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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Labor Economics > Countries in the world of labor economic profile > China > Local labor and economic
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