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The Research of Linkage between China’s and Global Stock Markets in the Context of Economic Recovery

Author: ZhangMinJie
Tutor: YeLi
School: Hebei University of Technology
Course: International Trade
Keywords: Stock market Linkage Transmission mechanism Grey Correlation Degree
CLC: F831.51;F224
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2011
Downloads: 49
Quote: 0
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Abstract


With the continuous deepening of global economic integration , the stock index as the leading economic indicators . Global stock index in recent years have shown a trend to be linked , and a strong linkage between the stock markets of developed countries such as the United States , Japan , and the United Kingdom , With the gradual development of the Chinese capital market , China's stock market and global stock markets between gradually there , especially after the outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis , global stock markets fell sharply , China's stock market has been hit hard . This makes people pay more attention to the degree of association between the Chinese stock market and global stock markets . With the introduction of the policy of all countries , the global economic recovery , to study the correlation between them is very practical significance in this context , investors can take reasonable investment strategy through the stock market in a timely manner , as well as the regulatory authorities develop financial policy also has a very important significance . In this paper, combined with the economic recovery in the context of the current situation of China's stock market and global stock markets , the linkage between the conduction path of global stock markets on the Chinese stock market impact from the four aspects of the economic and trade , financial markets, national policies and expectations for psychological change . And international crude oil prices , the price of gold and other commodities in the transmission mechanism of stock market linkage to make the research and interpretation . Based linkage study of the transmission mechanism , select the empirical analysis of daily stock index in July 2010 , March 2009 , use of the correlation coefficient test method , Granger test , pulse response functions inspection . In order to highlight the linkage between changes in the size of the economic recovery during the stock market before the economic recovery and a gradual economic recovery during the day index gray relational analysis , and to explain the reason of the linkage between changes . The purpose of this study is to reveal to the regulatory authorities and financial institutions , when major events that impact on the stock market , the regulatory authorities can timely respond , to develop positive bailout policies to reduce the impact on the domestic stock market . For financial institutions , not only to pay attention to the situation of the domestic market , as well as an active interest in the international market dynamics , and develop trading strategies , and better risk management .

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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Economic calculation, economic and mathematical methods > Economic and mathematical methods
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