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Research of Real Estate Investment Based on Option Game

Author: LiuBang
Tutor: ZhouShuJing
School: Hebei University of Engineering
Course: Structural Engineering
Keywords: Real estate Portfolio Risk Option Game
CLC: F293.3
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2010
Downloads: 116
Quote: 1
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Abstract


Investment in the real estate market is the main real estate developers , their investment decisions more scientific level of the real estate market risk has a great influence , the healthy development of the real estate industry will affect the entire national economy, sustained and stable development , and thus develop scientific and rational investment decision-making is particularly important . Real estate projects in the investment process contains real options , and competition between projects to net present value (NPV) as the representative of the traditional investment appraisal methods there is a huge flaw , it ignores the irreversibility of real estate investment , investment mechanisms rigidities . However, the option game method just to solve the above problems , and work out the optimal execution strategy real estate investment . Assessed using the option game approach investment decisions in real estate development , real estate developers can not only guide the rational development, but also for the government sector to take advantage of market economy provide theoretical support control real estate market , which helps to promote healthy and stable development of the real estate market . Thus, this option game based real estate investment research on the real estate market and the whole healthy and stable development of the national economy has an important practical role . This topic intends to carry on the real estate investment risk analysis , based on the method of introduction of real estate investment option game field , combined with the characteristics of real estate investment , real estate developers to build two option game between the model theory for the real estate sector and the business community provides a practical portfolio decision models and algorithms to improve the level of China's real estate portfolio decisions of practical significance . Innovation of this paper are: ( a ) a detailed analysis of the real estate investment income uncertainty , and then complete the real estate investment risk analysis ; ( 2 ) on the net present value and real option approach expand laterally comparison to find traditional NPV France defects , highlighting the advantages of real options approach ; ( 3 ) elaborate option game development at home and abroad , the system tells the basic model of option game method and conduct in-depth study ; ( 4 ) build option game model , and introduction of real estate investment, clarify options game model in the real estate investment decisions in the specific application .

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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Urban and municipal economy > Urban Economics and Management > The real estate economy
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