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Ganzhou residential land price monitoring and early warning
Author: ChenHui
Tutor: ZouTan
School: Jiangxi University of Technology
Course: Management Science and Engineering
Keywords: Urban residential land Land price monitoring Premium warning Difference correlation analysis Principal Component Analysis
CLC: F224
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2011
Downloads: 51
Quote: 0
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Abstract
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With the vigorous development of the land market, land plays an increasingly important role in urban construction of China's national economy. Premium and closely related to people's daily lives, and regulation of the land market is also an important part of the national macro-control. In recent years, some local land prices showed excessive development trends, or huge, triggered a social concern. Research the premium development trends, the timely release premium police intelligence information, not only for the government macro-control policies to develop a reasonable basis, to provide a reference for corporate investment decisions, the sustained, healthy and rapid development of the national economy as a whole is also important. Draw domestic and international economic early warning and real estate market early warning research based on summarizing the characteristics and laws of urban land price fluctuations, reveals the theories and methods of urban land price warning and Ganzhou residential land market, for example, systems analysis change the dynamic trend of real estate prices, to provide a scientific basis for the macro-control of the land market. This paper is divided into five parts: the first part of a detailed analysis of the background and significance of the study of urban land price warning, summed up the study of the theory and technology of the domestic and international economic warning dynamic, and put forward the main content of this paper and technical route; second part The Ganzhou central urban residential land is divided into six levels, 20 sections, establish the Ganzhou central urban residential land price dynamic monitoring system; Part III focuses on the methods and processes of urban land price warning Ganzhou residential land market The example of the city a premium early warning of empirical research; fourth part of its construction and management of the land market, according to the of Ganzhou residential land market situation and warning results, corresponding countermeasures and measures. Part V summarized the conclusions of this study based on the direction of further research. The main conclusions of the paper are as follows: Ganzhou is the growth rate of the residential land price fluctuations, such as the 2007 premium residence the land early warning system With the rapid warming of the property market, premium 131% degree of deviation, the land market in 2009 cold phenomenon; monitoring Ganzhou residential land prices at a reasonable level in 2005, a moderate police intelligence from 2006 to 2009; Ganzhou residential land prices will continue to grow in the next few years, and the volatility is not stabilized.
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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Economic calculation, economic and mathematical methods > Economic and mathematical methods
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