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Study on the Relation of China’s and US’s Economic Fluctuations

Author: PanZuo
Tutor: GuGuoDa
School: Zhejiang University
Course: International Trade
Keywords: Economic fluctuations Correlation Sino-US trade United States direct investment in China
CLC: F124.8;F171.2
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2009
Downloads: 442
Quote: 2
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Abstract


Fluctuations in the economy is a common phenomenon in the world in the process of economic development. Under the open economy, one country, as well as global economic shocks conduction through certain channels to other countries, so that the effect of a country's economic impact on other countries' economic fluctuations. Given that the United States and China has become a very important two economies in the world, has unusual influence on the world economy, international transmission of economic fluctuations such economic phenomenon as the subject of the study, between the two countries as a case, in-depth study of Chinese participation in the process of economic globalization and the correlation of the fluctuations of the U.S. economy, and focuses on the Sino-US economic relations on the basis of the impact of China's economic fluctuations. The aim is to provide a theoretical basis for the basic idea of ??China's regulation of economic fluctuations in the process of economic globalization on the basis of analysis and research. Thesis subject for examination, the Sino-US economic relations around the central issue of the Sino-US economic fluctuations correlation study. Start with the theory to sort out the height of the opening up of economic fluctuations in the economy under the conditions of the general principles of international transmission. Next, the analysis of the development of Sino-US economic and trade relations between the two countries since China's reform and opening up, the characteristics and causes. After from an empirical point of view on bilateral economic fluctuations compared to U.S. economic fluctuations and economic fluctuations measurement methods using the VAR model to study the economic fluctuations in the United States, Sino-US trade and U.S. direct investment in China China economic fluctuations. The main conclusions are: bilateral economic fluctuations from long-term positive relationship; Sino-US economic fluctuations conduction through trade channels, direct investment also have some role in the conduction of the Sino-US economic fluctuations, but its influence need a longer time before being gradually appear; limited direct impact of the U.S. economic fluctuations of the Chinese economic fluctuations, but showed a gradually increasing trend in the long run. Although the results of the study of economic fluctuations have been more, but focusing on Sino-US economic fluctuations thematic research results are also rare. Selected international trade and direct investment perspective to study the relevance of the Sino-US economic fluctuations and multinational conduction process. Innovations on Sino-US economic fluctuations related research methods, the introduction of a VAR model.

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