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Empirical Study on the Impact on Stock Market Volatility Due to Adjustments of Securities Transaction Stamp Tax

Author: LiuShiQi
Tutor: HuangFeiXue
School: Dalian University of Technology
Course: Finance
Keywords: Stamp duty on securities transactions Volatility Variance equal to the test Levene's test Using ARCH Model
CLC: F812.42;F832.51
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2010
Downloads: 196
Quote: 0
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Abstract


In this paper, as the sample data seven times other than June 1, 1999 , the stamp duty on securities transactions to adjust as the object of study since 1992 , the above Shanghai Composite Index and the Shenzhen Component Index logarithmic yield sequence through empirical research from short-term and long-term two angles inspection securities transaction stamp tax adjustment on stock market volatility . Empirical studies testing the short-term impact , skewness , kurtosis test and Shapiro-Wilk test of normality test sample data , the situation is not normal for the sample data , Levene's test to adjust the previous stamp duty on securities transactions variance equal to the test before and after the sample data ; empirical studies that test the long-term effects of the various samples of ARCH modeling , based on the significant of the model as well as the Akaike information Criterion and Schwarz criteria to select the optimal model , in the optimal model conditional variance equation and dummy variables introduced into the characterization of securities transaction stamp before and after adjustment for parameter estimation . Through empirical research , this paper mainly the following conclusions : (1) securities transaction stamp tax adjustment on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock volatility in general . (2) The rate of stamp duty on securities transactions increase in the short term impact on the stock market volatility is determined to increase the volatility of the stock market . (3) The rate of stamp duty on securities transactions down in the short term , the impact of the volatility of the stock market is uncertain , and may raise or lower the volatility of the stock market , may not significantly affect the stock market 's volatility . ( 4 ) The adjustment of stock trading stamp , regardless of the tax rate up or down , none of the stock market volatility in the long term produce a significant effect . In light of these conclusions , the paper asked the following policy recommendations : ( 1 ) to reduce the use of the adjustment policies of the securities transaction stamp . (2) should not be raised , and timely cut the rate of stamp duty on securities transactions .

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CLC: > Economic > Fiscal, monetary > Finance, banking > China's financial,banking > Financial market
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