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Study on the Cost Control and Price Forecast of the Economic Adaptive House in China

Author: LeiYu
Tutor: LiuBingNan
School: Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology
Course: Management Science and Engineering
Keywords: Affordable housing Cost control Price forecasts
CLC: F293.3
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2010
Downloads: 209
Quote: 1
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Abstract


Chinese Confucian culture has a long history of \One can only resort to affordable housing of root \have occurred. The paper first introduces the concept of affordable housing and the development process, to analyze the reality of the problems exposed instance, arise seemingly difficult to reconcile the contradictions, but according to China each year for the delivery of affordable housing funds total residential investment The proportion found, the countries not only is not stagnant investment, but also to make great efforts to the development of affordable housing. The papers to housing construction in the United States for instance, to learn from the United States as one of the more successful countries to solve the housing problem in the world has introduced policies to solve the problems facing our country resolved. Second split the price of the affordable housing, and to identify the factors that affect the price. The increase in land demolition and resettlement costs, rising raw material prices led to steel and cement building directly impact on prices. Rigid housing demand caused by the influx of a large number of rural population increase, the constantly adjusted financial policies indirect impact on prices. I believe that affordable housing prices influencing factors, some human can be regulated. In practice, only the cost down to price unreasonable moisture squeezed out, so the article were from the government and developers point of view of cost control. Cost control from the government's point of view, is to control the land, building area, building design, lending policies; from the developers point of view of cost control is to control its direct costs and indirect costs to control the direct construction cost. With the exponential smoothing Gong Bozi model two prediction methods, to second-tier cities (Xi'an), for example, to predict the price growth trend of its affordable housing over the next four years. Then according to the reality of the two predicted results gives different weights to predict the price again, the prediction results more realistic and scientific. Finally, strengthen macroeconomic management, a clear buy objects and construction standards, facilities, property rights, financial support and other aspects related policies to further improve our affordable housing. This paper argues that, in many policies, the first is to strengthen the division and audit of the purchase object, namely the establishment of a mature national the networked personal income information inquiry system to put an end to the purchase of high-income people, or for \affordable housing, give a certain punishment, to avoid disrupting safeguard the fairness of the policy. Second is cut off the source of the profits, while the implementation of the government of the \to eliminate and avoid problems.

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