|
In the dry bulk shipping fleet, Panamax bulk carrier ship is one of representative, dead weight ton at between 60,000 to 100,000dwt, via the Panama Canal, is the best ship Atlantic to the Pacific. Panamax bulk carrier ship mainly transport coal, coke, grain, fertilizer, iron ore, mixed ore, aluminum, cement, sulfur, and other general bulk. Since 2008, the global economic crisis, Panamax bulk carrier shipping market suffered heavy losses, reflecting the Panamax bulk carrier market conditions BPI plummet, the market stumbled. Since 2010, the world economy has entered a "post-crisis era". Panamax bulk carrier shipping market drivened by coal and grain has gradually rebounded. The face of the complicated economic situation in the future, Then the Panamax bulk carrier shipping market supply of future and transport demand and the trend of how capacity engaged is the Panamax bulk carrier transport companies most concerned about, and also the focus of this article.This article background is in the post-crisis era,first the Panamax bulk carrier fleet size,age of the vessel and capacity supply is described in detail on the current Panamax bulk carrier shipping market, the BPI which is reflecting the market fluctuations is also a brief analysis; Second, the Panamax demand for bulk carrier shipping market depends on its main transport cargo types-coal and grains, therefore, the paper ananlysis the main types of goods-coal and grains import and export countries and the volume in a detailed analysis, the same time, by means of exponential smoothing method and the combination of gray prediction model and time series prediction method and a combination of gray forecasting model of the two combined models, based on recent years the amount of coal and grains shipping data carry out specific analysis and prediction shipping coal and grain volume,forecast analysis to see the next few years the demand for Panamax bulk carriers; Finally, based on the foregoing analysis, give related Panamax bulk carrier enterprise some business strategies and recommendations, mainly from the adjustment of the structure, the implementation of the shipping joint venture and the use of modern information and management techniques three areas to described and analyzed.
|