Dissertation > Excellent graduate degree dissertation topics show

Research on War Economic Cost and the Ability of National Economy to Support It

Author: ZhangYunZhuang
Tutor: ZengLi
School: National University of Defense Science and Technology
Course: National Defense Economy
Keywords: War economic cost War economic input War economic loss Affordability
CLC: E0-054
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2008
Downloads: 153
Quote: 0
Read: Download Dissertation

Abstract


Because resources are scarce, the state must always consider whether to ensure security or make profits. The value of the good or service forgone is the opportunity cost of the war. Through cost study, on one hand, the paper hopes to help the state "to be adept at warfare", that is to make a "resouce-saving" war by questing for effective ways to reduce the cost and to control war timetable and national economy at wartime; on the other hand, "to end the war", the paper appeals for people’s alert by revealing the state’s, the nation’s and even the human’s enomous losses caused by war. War cost and affordability of the national economy is a relatively new fundamental research in the field of mobilization. Based on the basic logic of macroeconomics, empirical methods of econometrics and paradigm of modern economics, the paper is divided into two parts: theoretical assessment and empirical calculation. Under the framework of mordern economics, the first part establishes theoretical assumptions and mathematical models in use of logical reasoning method to assess war economic inputs and war economic losses. Empirical part firstly defines the time, the place and the parties of the war in detail. Then the paper analizes the theoretical assumptions determining the economic cost of war by econometric test methods. At last, through repeated tests of the modified linear regression model, the paper estimates the state’s possible war inputs and losses on the basis of 2008 national economy forecast data.The calculated results indicate that the ratio of the state’s new military inputs at wartime to GDP of the same year has dropped substantially. Due to the destruction of economic assets, the decrease of investment and consumption, and trade disruption, the gross domestic product at wartime will decline in varying degrees. The GDP loss caused by war is about 28.9% of GDP at the state of no war. Compared with the forecast GDP in 2007, economic development declining ratio is about 22%, roughly equivalent to the national economic output in 2005. The level of economic development retrogresses about three years, while residential consumption level about five years. Research suggests that the supportability and affordability of the national economy to war incereases sharply. In the future, we can further reduce the economic hurt of war and then cut down the war conomic cost through means such as sustainedly increasing military expenditure, implementing anti-intervention strategy, enhancing military offensive capability and deterrence capability, expanding the national economy basis, transforming economic growth mode, adjusting the industrial structure and layout, establishing capital flight control mechanism, economic regulative mechanism, and also diversifying trade structure.

Related Dissertations

  1. Beijing urban residents in housing affordability,F126.1;F224
  2. Frustration tolerance on nurturing young Rational Thinking,B844.2
  3. Research on the Influencing Factors of Real Estate Price in Shanghai,F224
  4. Improve the availability of essential drugs in rural areas Strategy,R95
  5. The Research on Chinese Townspeople’s Housing Affordability,F293.3
  6. The Change of Family Educational Investment and Its Influence on Family Consumption during the Quick Increasing of Educational Investment of China,G40-054
  7. A Study of the Reform of Housing Institution and Resident Housing Burden of Changchun City,F293.3
  8. Study of Beijing Urban Residential System of Minimum Standard of Living and Unemployment Insurance,F842.61
  9. To Analyze Chinese Townspeople’s Housing Affordability by Grey Correlative Degree,TU241
  10. Study of Chinese Peasants’ Ability to Bear Their Children’s University Expenses,G647.5
  11. Empirical Research on the Sustainability of Current Account of China,F832.6
  12. Water Price in Economical Cost-Based Evaluation,F224
  13. The Research of the Development Trend of the Affordable Housing,F293.3
  14. Analysis of Housing Affordability and Study of Policy of Low-income Family in Xi’an,F293.3
  15. Housing affordability judgment and the city government housing policy choices,F293.3
  16. Research on Financial Feasibility of Establishing Occupational Pension Plan by Our Country’s Corporations,F842.6
  17. Analysis of Water Price and Research of Model in Far Away City of Wuhan,F224
  18. Based on ability to pay housing supply and demand structure of Nanjing,F293.3
  19. Research on the Appropriate Level of Enterprise Social Insurance Affordability,F842.6
  20. Impact flexible employment pension insurance rate factors,F842.6

CLC: > Military > Military theory > The relationship between military science and other sciences > Economics of Defense
© 2012 www.DissertationTopic.Net  Mobile