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Reached a new joint venture company is a railway companies . Business development in the company's operations , the market increasingly competitive circumstances, in order to grasp the company's future trends and directions , clear the company's future development goals , in order to make the company staff unity of thinking, regulate behavior , in order to contribute to the company's management system and operating mechanism to further adjust , improve and perfect , with the coordination of transportation and production activities , the company has maintained a good momentum of development, in an advantageous position in the competition , it is necessary to study the long-term development strategy for passenger and freight transport . During the study , the first for a regional population , economic situation analysis and forecasting , as well as regional transportation situation analysis and future planning, to achieve the company's internal and external environment analysis, proposed reforms to achieve the company's idea , and then based on this right vision to reach the railway passenger and freight traffic to predict , and thus achieve the company's passenger and freight transport proposed long-term strategic planning and implementation of the strategic planning related strategies. Research methods in the regional population, economic forecast , the use of a predictive model regression method , and then using the Delphi method to determine the population and economic growth ; vision on reaching the railway passenger and freight traffic to predict when traffic volume is divided into trends , transfer traffic , increase traffic induced three parts , the use of system dynamics approach , established their own predictive models were predicted . Thesis research and analysis methods and results , not only for the company to reach a considerable role in the reference for other similar railway company also has a reference .
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