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Research on Investment Value of Gold Listed Companies

Author: LiShuang
Tutor: YangXiYue
School: Harbin Institute of Technology
Course: Finance
Keywords: gold listed companies investment value fuzzy evaluation disaster componential analysis
CLC: F224
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2010
Downloads: 259
Quote: 0
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Abstract


Gold in ensuring national economic security, national defense, security and guard against financial risks have an irreplaceable role.With the Increasing risk of recent European debt, driving the euro depreciated the dollar index strength, market risk aversion heating up again. European government’s unprecedented rescue package did not fully ease the anxiety; Our country’s April CPI and the PPI higher than expected, and European governments introduction of quantitative easing policy, making the market long-term inflation fears further intensified, these will enhance the price of gold. The price of gold rose 15%, could make the gold performance of listed companies increased by 15% -20%,make of gold stocks more secure relative to other cyclical stocks, so make the gold listed company have higher investment value.This paper selects a representative in Shanghai and Shenzhen gold four listed companies for the study, hoping to provide investors with investment strategies for reference.The article focuses on the development of gold industry, and industry analysis of the characteristics, U.S. dollar devaluation and inflation expectations, the official reserve assets as gold demand has increased significantly. Gold optimistic expectations, the expected expansion of low cost and resources to enhance the domestic business valuation. Optimistic expectations in the context of the gold price, cost advantages and prospects with the resources to expand the preferred gold company investment.This paper analyze the factors of investment value of listed companies and research the investment value of the gold listed company in the micro and macro levels ,and make a brief qualitative analysis. Using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model and disaster componential analysis model to analyse quantitative investment value of gold listed companies and using the profitability and equity expansion and asset management and solvency and development capability and cash flow six aspects of the 18 financial indicator. Through the contrast and analysis of results in the two method, we get such a conclusion the gold listed companies having higher investment value. In accordance with the two methods of analysis of the investment value to a lower sort, Shandong gold-mining, Zhongjin gold, Zijin mining, Hobbs shares.In this paper, fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model and the main reason for composition analysis of two methods on gold investment value of listed companies to analyze. The investment strategy analyse, through the cicc variables on the forecast and analysis the investment strategy, want to have some reference for investors.

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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Economic calculation, economic and mathematical methods > Economic and mathematical methods
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