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The papers from the macroeconomic performance of Hunan Province 's export trade to proceed , a comprehensive analysis of changes of Hunan Province, the export trade from the total trade , trade structure and trade patterns , and then from international , domestic and uncertainties in Hunan Province export Trade Factors theoretical analysis . Hunan Province, the relationship between the export trade and its influencing factors were analyzed on the basis of theoretical analysis . 1985-2005 annual statistics based on cointegration analysis and vector auto regression and error correction model , empirical studies influencing factors of Hunan Province, the export trade . Empirical studies have shown that long - term cointegration relationship between the export trade of Hunan Province, and its gross domestic product , imports, investment in science and technology and foreign direct investment , and the changes in imports and GDP growth impact of export , foreign direct investment and investment in science and technology exports is the reverse . Different understanding and theoretical analysis , the real effective exchange rate of the yuan , the growth rate of the world economy and the world export price index had no significant effect on the export trade . In response to this phenomenon , the paper made ??a reasonable interpretation of the economy . Finally, from the macro, meso and micro levels put forward reasonable proposals for the of Hunan Province future export trade development .
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