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Long-term Investment Value Analysis of Banking Stock in A-share Market

Author: TaoZuo
Tutor: BeiZhengXin
School: Suzhou University
Course: Business Administration
Keywords: A-share market banking stock long-term investment value
CLC: F832.51
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2011
Downloads: 126
Quote: 0
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Abstract


The banking stocks should be enlisted as one of the biggest confusions in the A share market in recent years. The low PE investment model showcased an irregular performance which puzzled almost all investors including institutional and retail investors. The valuation of bank shares have been going all the way down in less than two years which left many investors bewildered.Given the deviation between the banking stock earning and price, which is believed by many investors that a significant revision is required in its valuation system, the author analyzes this the seemingly clear but full of inherent contradictions investment based on his experiences in stock investment of eleven years, stocks of seven years and bank of ten years. This paper analyzes the inherent advantages of banking, its relations with the macro-economy, the internal comprehensive competitiveness, the current evaluation level and the negative observations from the market of the old and new domestic banking from an angle of value found. The paper presents that bank, as an upstream of all industries, is entitled to the free choice of high-quality customers. History of foreign countries proves that the development of banking stock can outrace that of the national economy. The optimistic forecast of China’s economy built an even more solid foundation for the future development of its banking stocks. In addition, banking industry possesses some more particular competitive advantages in comparison with other industries including ultra long-term stability, natural business ductility, scale economy, relative monopoly, and high cost of customer conversion, etc.In the meantime, this paper finds through empirical study that the investment bank shares can still get 30.74% of the annual average rate of return in the past nine years though the current valuation of bank stocks as a whole has reached the lowest point since listing. Investment stock returns by its intrinsic value growth in a long run. To this end, based on its inherent competitiveness and China’s economy macro-environment, and given the current purchase price that has been greatly undervalued, the domestic banking shares will bring firm long-term investor rich returns.

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CLC: > Economic > Fiscal, monetary > Finance, banking > China's financial,banking > Financial market
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