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The Comprehensive Evaluation and Prediction of the Coordinated Economic Development in Liaoning Province

Author: SunJingJing
Tutor: HuangMinSheng
School: Fujian Normal University
Course: Human geography
Keywords: comprehensive evaluation principal component analysis clusteringanalysis prediction absolute difference relative difference Gini coefficient Liaoningprovince
CLC: F127
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2013
Downloads: 1
Quote: 0
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Abstract


The thesis refers to the studies by the Chinese and foreign experts and scholars in the related fields, integrates the economic development status of Liaoning Province, emphasizes the comprehensive evaluation of the coordination of regional economic development in Liaoning Province, and uses the methods of comparison and comprehensive analysis to make estimation on the economic development of Liaoning Province in the future and the differences among its14prefecture-level cities. Studies in the thesis could help us better understand the current economic development status of Liaoning Province, and accurately master its development trend in the future, as well as find the advantages and disadvantages of the province, which have certain theoretical and realistic significance in promoting Liaoning Province’s overall and comprehensive strength, promoting the sustainable and healthy development in the region, as well as constructing the harmonious society.Based on the combination between empirical study and norm, static and dynamic, qualitative and quantitative, the thesis makes comprehensive evaluation and estimation on the coordination degree of the economic development in Liaoning Province, the detailed operation processes are as follows:firstly, establish the indicator system of regional economic coordination degree, based on which the main component analysis and clustering analysis methods are used for quantitative analysis, and combine the foresaid2analysis results to conclude the current economic development status of Liaoning Province; secondly, in order to make further analysis on the regional economic development status of Liaoning Province, the two methods, including the combination of absolute difference and relative difference, and the international Gini coefficient, are used to estimate the economic development difference in the coming6years, in order to ensure the accuracy of estimation results, the Delphi method is also adopted for verification; and lastly, based on the combined results of the foresaid quantitative and qualitative analysis, the knowledge relevant to regional economics, development economics, spatial statistics, econometrics and other subjects is used to provide some feasible suggestions and measures for the sustainable economic and social development of Liaoning Province in the future.

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CLC: > Economic > The world economic profiles,economic history,economic geography > China's economy > The local economy
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