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Research on Chinese University Financial Crisis Alert

Author: JiaJi
Tutor: WangHongBin
School: Harbin Engineering University
Course: Educational Economy and Management
Keywords: Financial crisis College financial crisis Financial Early Warning Neural Network Model
CLC: G647.5
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2009
Downloads: 107
Quote: 0
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Abstract


To speed up the development of higher education, expansion of college and university admissions, and improve the quality of the whole nation, is the urgent need for the development of higher education in China. Since the 1999 national college enrollment, the national college students from 340 million in 1998, rapidly increased to 1885 million in 2007, with the increase in the number of admissions, colleges and universities to accommodate so many students, on the one hand, must to expand the infrastructure facilities in schools, on the other hand is necessary to increase investment in education, the students develop. Due to the limited state financial resources, limited by the national investment in education bottleneck, it will have serious funding gap. Therefore, the in college extraordinary development, large-scale borrowing school, the rapid expansion of the same time, the the college financial crisis also increasingly emergent. Faced with a very complex situation, the college financial position will also be unimaginable. Thus, the study of the causes of the college financial crisis, early warning and response problem has a very important practical significance. The college financial crisis risks faced by colleges and universities operating in the process due to the movement of funds. Colleges and universities as public institutions, state-of-the-art teaching facilities and stable government funds Although insolvent phenomenon is unlikely to occur, but the college is also very possible liquidity shortage, the day-to-day running of the difficulties. The paper is based on the universities, to study the causes of the financial crisis, early warning and response issues, financial management of our colleges and universities have a certain significance. Firstly, on the basis of the analysis of financial risk, the college financial crisis defined the status quo of college financial analysis. Departure from the status quo of college financial crisis, a profound analysis of the the college financial crisis, and pave the way for further study of the the college financial crisis prevention strategies. Second, drawing on relevant research results at home and abroad, the use of the method of qualitative analysis, knowledge of the use of early warning model, defined the principles and standards of the BP neural network model design system, determine the indicators used in the model. The use of quantitative analysis of the operation process of the BP neural network model, based on established indicators, colleges and universities gathered data on the actual universities indicators data analysis, the use of neural network model to verify the accuracy of the model, hoping to be able to for university leaders macro decision-making to provide a more objective basis. Finally, the previous text of the analysis made on the basis of for college financial crisis causes, through the neural network model prediction and warnings, the article proposed to deal with the the college financial crisis prevention strategies, to facilitate the colleges and universities for their actual situation, do a good job early warning and preparedness of the financial crisis, to eliminate hidden dangers and healthy development, and train more talents for the national development of market economy, thus contributing to the healthy and stable development of the national economy.

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