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The Risk and the Control of China’s Short-term External Debt Viewed from Trade Credit

Author: ZhangRuiJuan
Tutor: ZhangFangFang
School: Jinan University
Course: Finance
Keywords: short-term external debt trade credit risk control
CLC: F832.6
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2009
Downloads: 27
Quote: 0
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Abstract


As the deepening of China’s exchange rate system reform and the substain growing of the trade surplus, the market has a strong expectation of appreciation in RMB, besides, the gap between the domestic and foreign interest rate has been widenning which become incentives for the short-term international capital flooded into China. Since the SAFE has restricted the remaining sum of borrowing from broad for the financial institutions founded in China. strict restrictions also made the foreign capital difficult to invest in China’s securities market through QFII, which makes the sum of Chinese legitimate financial short-term external debt controllable. Because the trade credit is mostly the easy-operated short-term capital with strong liquidity, which maks it become the paltform for international hot money to get in and out of China. China’s short-term external debt in the form of trade credit once flows into the stock market, foreign exchange market,ect. Its potential risk will greatly threat China’s economic development and financial security.Therefore, China has promulgated a series of management measures on trade credit but with little effect according to the statistic data. This paper first studied Chile’s URR and Brazil’s Tax policy on capital inflow, after the comparation and analysis of these two countries’measures on capital inflow, a conclusion has been supported that the best way to control the short-term international capital especially the international hot money inflow is to raise the cost of its speculation and to block the loopholes in the short term, while in the long run, good macro-economic conditions are crucial to control the risk of short-term external debt.On the ground of analyzing the recent policies on China’s trade credit management, short-term and long-term advice and suggestions has been offered to control the risk of China’s short-term external debt in the view from trade credit.

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CLC: > Economic > Fiscal, monetary > Finance, banking > China's financial,banking > Exchange rate,foreign financial relations
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