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BOQ pricing model based on the project claim under Game Analysis and Research

Author: LiZuoBin
Tutor: LiYing
School: West China University
Course: Structural Engineering
Keywords: Engineering claims Bayes theory Claims negotiations Game Model
CLC: F284
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2011
Downloads: 270
Quote: 1
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Abstract

In various stages of construction and engineering claims are likely to occur, engineering claims is a normal economic phenomenon. With the increasing complexity of engineering technology, the growing size of the project, the continuous improvement of the difficulty of construction, among other factors, the contracting parties would inevitably lead to various problems, a single factor or the many factors intertwined with the lead project claim events. Also, because the construction and the angle at which the parties are pursuing different purposes, the losses caused by the project and the level of knowledge will be different. So, how in the construction project owners and management process, the project claim negotiation process in a relatively favorable position? Engineering claims after the incident, the project claim the parties to the contract negotiation process is critical. In the claims negotiation process, the contractor would negotiate to reduce losses, protect their legitimate rights and interests: Project owners will want to avoid or transfer risk, to reduce the construction cost of the project, both taken in the negotiations for their own strategic advantage, Tactics can be considered to be a typical time-limited two-person zero-sum game. We build the project owner and contractor engineering claims negotiation process bargaining game model, and use Bayes rule on the validity period of the alternating offers game model is proposed to improve the theoretical analysis of the project claim Bayes game model of mathematical methods to analyze the negotiating parties should take The countermeasures to fast, reasonably and effectively solve engineering event of a claim, to improve the efficiency of construction projects. This paper describes a study of domestic and international engineering construction claims history and development status, briefly game theory studies in engineering application status claims put forward the significance of this research and research ideas and methods; on the Bill of Quantities mode engineering study claims management, including inventory valuation mode of construction projects in major contractual relationship, the Bill of Quantities mode claims arising from the performance of new works form, the project owner claims avoidance and transfer factors engineering methods; on Bayes Decision Theory in the project claim the application of research, involving a brief overview of the game, a brief discussion of the history and development of game theory, Bayes theory in engineering claims Decision Analysis (including Bayes theory overview, basic process for decision-making, application methods and applications), making the choice of project claim negotiations; establish a bargaining game model, a theoretical analysis of this game model Bayes mathematical methods, through concrete examples for quantitative analysis. Results of this thesis is the owner standing in the project point of view, the Bayes decision theory into engineering claims put forward their application and applications, and engineering claims negotiation process to conduct a detailed analysis in order to achieve the Bayes theory and engineering claims decisions are integrated. Meanwhile, on this basis, the claim put forward in the negotiation process engineering, project owners bargaining game model, using Bayes rule be amended mathematical methods, combined with specific examples of projects seeking Pareto optimal. Project owners can be regarded as the heart of the negotiation process boundaries, develop appropriate engineering claims negotiation strategy. Through this act, to achieve rapid, reasonable and effective solution to engineering claims events, improve the efficiency of project construction, the project owner to protect the legitimate interests and help project owners to effectively carry out construction management purposes.

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