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The Improvement Research on Indicator Selection of the Corporate Financial Crisis Warning

Author: ZhangCheng
Tutor: TianZhongHe
School: Lanzhou University
Course: Business management
Keywords: Crisis warning Balanced Scorecard Non-financial information Grey Relational Analysis
CLC: F275
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2011
Downloads: 256
Quote: 0
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Abstract


Enterprise financial crisis early warning, at home and abroad many scholars to carry out a large number of studies. In these studies, it has basically formed a consensus, it is the choice of enterprise financial crisis early warning indicators for early warning of the crisis early warning model accuracy is crucial, important aspects of Enterprise Financial Distress. In fact, from the beginning, people always concerned about how to more effectively select indicators for early warning of enterprise financial crisis, to carry out a lot of work, and improvements in corporate financial crisis early warning indicators selection yielded some results. On the basis of existing research results, this paper will expand further choice for enterprise financial crisis early warning indicators, in order to be able to choose the scope and methods of enterprise financial crisis early warning indicators improved to some extent, thus enhancing the accuracy of Enterprise Financial Distress and effectiveness. In this paper, based on theoretical overview of enterprise financial crisis early warning indicators selection, improved from two main aspects of enterprise financial crisis early warning indicators selected try. First, the choice of enterprise financial crisis early warning indicators, the paper proposes the selection of indicators based on the balanced scorecard design ideas make full use of financial indicators for early warning based on the introduction of non-financial information, thereby enhancing corporate financial crisis early warning indicators Select comprehensiveness. Second, in secondary selection method for enterprise financial crisis early warning indicators, the choice based on existing enterprise financial crisis early warning indicators undue reliance on the status quo of the mathematical statistical methods to analyze the use of mathematical statistical methods for the selection of indicators limitations based on gray relational analysis enterprise financial crisis early warning indicators selection method, trying to overcome the limitations of the existing index selection method to enhance the science and effectiveness of early warning indicators selection. On this basis, the paper uses the 20 manufacturing the first time in 2007-2009 ST listed companies and 20 of the ratio of the company's actual data select text indicators improved the effectiveness of comparative empirical test. Comparative empirical results show that the application of improved indicators to build an early warning model has a higher accuracy of early warning, rose from 86.65% to 87.50%. This proved to a certain extent, the improvement of enterprise financial crisis early warning indicators choice and selection method is effective. Thesis Finally, the authors next prospect.

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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Enterprise economy > Corporate Financial Management
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