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The Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism of China Real Estate Market Based on VAR

Author: HuKe
Tutor: DaiYiYi
School: Xiamen University
Course: Management Science and Engineering
Keywords: Real estate market Monetary policy Vector autoregression
CLC: F822.0;F224
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2008
Downloads: 524
Quote: 5
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Abstract


Continued healthy and stable development of the real estate industry as a pillar industry of the national economy , steady and rapid growth of the entire national economy and the improvement of living conditions of the majority of the people is very important . However, the surface of the real estate boom , there are a lot of hidden dangers , real estate exist many problems have attracted wide attention from society and the central bank attaches great importance . The central bank has introduced a variety of monetary policy to control real estate market , monetary policy in an attempt to curb housing prices . The real estate industry is a typical capital-intensive industry , so the impact of monetary policy on the real estate industry is bound to be profound and lasting . In China , the monetary policy on the real estate market is how it conducts ? Has a kind of correlation between the size of loans , interest rates and money supply three main monetary policy intermediate target and the real estate market ? Which intermediate target on the property market more effective ? In order to answer these questions , this article details the five main monetary policy pathway and six commonly used monetary policy intermediate target , and then describe the real estate market and VAR model and monetary policy transmission effect the relationship , and then the real estate market of the monetary policy transmission effect empirical research, establish the size of the real estate market and real estate market prices and monetary policy intermediate target VAR model and the VEC model . The empirical results show that there is no intermediate target of monetary policy in both long-term and short-term impact on the scale of the real estate market and real estate market prices ; loan scale efforts to affect the real estate market , the impact of faster , to affect longer duration ; interest rates smaller efforts to the real estate market , the impact of slower impact of shorter duration ; larger money supply efforts to affect the real estate market , the impact of slower impact of longer duration . Finally, the paper made ??a number of policy recommendations based on the empirical results .

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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Economic calculation, economic and mathematical methods > Economic and mathematical methods
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