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Research on Modeling for the Decision Support Systems of Total Quantity Control for the Land Based Pollutants Discharged into the Jiao Zhou Bay

Author: BaoLiLi
Tutor: ZhangQinSheng
School: Ocean University of China
Course: Management Science and Engineering
Keywords: The terrigenous row sea pollutants Decision support systems Marine ecosystems Industrial pollution Agricultural pollution Nitrogen and phosphorus
CLC: X506
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2009
Downloads: 150
Quote: 1
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Abstract


The study of of Jiaozhou Bay into the sea pollution sources total control of decision support systems in order to control the worsening of Jiaozhou Bay Jiaozhou Bay of nitrogen and phosphorus and petroleum hydrocarbon contamination, making the Jiaozhou Bay coastal industrial agriculture economy to a healthy and stable environment are not subject to the conditions continue to undermine the long-term sustainability of the development and establishment of the proposition. Top of the physico-chemical and biological properties of the integrated Jiaozhou Bay, Jiaozhou Bay sea water self-purification capacity, and utilization of the total allocation model will cut the total amount of a reasonable distribution of economic benefits function to each outfall. This paper analyzes the sources of pollution of Jiaozhou Bay, the by estuaries detection system detected sources of marine pollution emissions and pollution emissions from both social and economic concentration and the total into the sea link. Comprehensive analysis of the source of the problem in the industrial, agricultural and domestic sewage. The industrial sewage different industry wastewater emissions comprehensive. Specific clustering analysis of different industries summarizes the different pollution index industry, the industrial economy by improving the level of environmental protection technology, and the collection of sewage tax makes the individual taking into account environmental protection measures to maximize economic benefits. The agricultural sewage mainly excessive use of fertilizer and pesticides for agricultural land makes a large number of agricultural wastewater discharged into the sea. Policy guidance requiring minimum grain prices and subsidies for farmers through the government's policy guidelines, for example, farmers can reduce the amount of chemical fertilizer and pesticide use by economic considerations, but also by the market price of raw materials and land prices. to affect the behavior of the farmers of the emissions of pollutants. Population model simple by population and per capita emissions of pollutants coefficients to estimate the amount of pollution emissions in the urban population. In view of the the economic module pollutants emissions, the paper also analyzes the marine sea water into the sea pollutants self-purification capacity analysis is divided into physical self-purification capacity of the ocean, chemical self-purification capacity of the ocean and the marine biological self-purification capacity, self-purification ability of the ocean a kind of pollutants consume transformation ability, consume endless pollutants will affect marine biomes and sea water quality in marine quality evaluation system for the comparison of the various factors in the marine survey and marine environment, water quality standards using fuzzy mathematical evaluation methods to evaluate the level of marine water quality. Ocean water quality, while taking advantage of the artificial neural network simulation predicted. This article by seawater evaluate them above the economy's industrial systems, agricultural systems, living population, as well as marine systems, sea water self-purification capacity analysis system and reasonable allocation of the total marine pollutants remaining systems integration design Jiaozhou Bay into the sea pollution matter the total control of the management decision support system, designed to aid the environmental protection department to use the system to conduct a scientific decision-making behavior, reasoned set of economic policies and social impact, and the impact of environmental pollution can do for market some of the changes in the prices of the factors of production factors can predict economic behavior of farmers able to roughly estimate the amount of fertilizer and pesticides pollution. In this paper, the environmental Kuznets curve analysis of the four social factors affect industrial pollution emissions per capita income, industrial structure, size and technical relationship, and to analyze the economic situation of Jiaozhou Bay, a U-shaped curve. For the analysis of agriculture, environmental Kuznets curve regression relationship between the amount of pesticides and fertilizers, and per capita GDP. This paper is designed to meet the individual rationality constraint incentive compatibility constraints, fair, effective land-based sources of pollutants into the sea trading mechanism, and two-way auction emissions trading mechanism.

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CLC: > Environmental science, safety science > Environmental pollution and its prevention > General issues > Control of environmental pollution and its exclusion
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