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Xian City Taxi Passenger Demand Prediction Research

Author: ZhangDa
Tutor: WangYu
School: Chang'an University
Course: Industrial Economics
Keywords: Taxi demand Correlation Elastic analysis Regression analysis
CLC: F224
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2011
Downloads: 120
Quote: 0
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Abstract


City taxis as part of China's urban public transport , to promote the city's economic development , facilitate urban people travel to play a positive role , reflecting the level of development of urban modernization , but also accumulated a number of problems , difficult as taxi drivers and the poor quality of service . The purpose of this paper is a departure from the historical data to identify the characteristics and laws of Xi'an taxi passenger demand , and forecast Xi'an the taxi demand growth in the next few years , to provide a basis for the effective control of the taxi industry . In this paper, the taxi industry in Xi'an as the research object , using a combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis method , based on historical data , With SPSS software tools , research Xi'an taxi passenger demand . Xi'an taxi passenger demand is influenced by many factors such as economic , social , policy , environment . The paper will be divided into these factors to economic factors , demographic factors , and other factors , and then on the basis of historical data , correlation analysis , elastic analysis . Selected on the basis of economic analysis , Xi'an taxi passenger demand significantly related to GDP per capita disposable income per capita consumption , the number of buses , the resident population of the working population as the independent variable , Xi'an taxi passenger demand for dependent variable to construct the regression model , the future Xi'an taxi passenger demand forecast , and the variation of the forecast data is consistent with the historical data , further use of the research results in front of the basis of the study on the reasonableness of the current policy investigate . This paper summarizes past research on the basis of the analysis of historical data and build predictive models , develop certain reference policy control of the taxi industry in Xi'an .

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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Economic calculation, economic and mathematical methods > Economic and mathematical methods
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