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China 's truck market analysis and forecast

Author: ZhangJingXin
Tutor: ZhaoJun
School: University of Foreign Trade and Economic
Course: Business management
Keywords: Lorry Model Forecast
CLC: F426.471
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2006
Downloads: 301
Quote: 1
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Abstract


For the modern enterprise , is vital to develop production according to market demand , the car business is no exception . This paper tries to predict the ownership of the truck market in China through the establishment of econometric models , to provide a reference to the truck manufacturing companies to develop production plans . First truck market situation in China are introduced to analyze the change in the overall trend of China 's truck market holdings , and subsequently introduced the concepts and classifications of the prediction method . The forecast for the future of China's truck market , this article uses quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis of two methods, combined with the advantages of the two methods . First of all, through qualitative analysis to find the impact of truck ownership , followed by further quantitative analysis in order to determine the highway mileage , infrastructure investment in fixed assets of China's social consumer expenditure as the main factors ; and then using the results of the previous analysis to construct three models , time series model , multiple regression , and factor regression model and integrated the advantages of several models to establish a comprehensive predictive model , is the full-text key part of this section ; Finally, the analysis compares the pros and cons of each model and each model applicable .

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CLC: > Economic > Industrial economy > China Industrial Economy > Industrial sector economy
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