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The Analysis of the Effect of Monetary Integration on International Trade

Author: SuiXueZuo
Tutor: DaiGuiLin
School: Ocean University of China
Course: International Trade
Keywords: Monetary integration Trade effect U.S. dollar Euro CJK monetary integration
CLC: F746;F224
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2010
Downloads: 106
Quote: 1
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Abstract


In today's trend of economic globalization, trade between countries have become increasingly frequent, in the realization of trade liberalization and globalization, in order to save transaction costs and reduce exchange rate risks, countries began to seek greater monetary cooperation monetary integration trends are becoming evident. In this status and trends, researchers monetary integration on international trade effects arising from the effects of great significance. For the effect of monetary integration issues of international trade is still small, this article seeks to illustrate the analysis center of the world currencies and the U.S. dollar as the euro as the single currency area trade effects arising. For a long time, the U.S. dollar has been the international monetary system in the dominant currency, the U.S. dollar currency, the integration can be seen as within the scope of its global international trading, clearing and reserves are widely used as a center of the world currency, the dollar to some extent, to accelerate the pace of global monetary integration, to promote the development of world trade had a positive effect. As the U.S. dollar on international trade is difficult to quantify the effects produced by the data is difficult to obtain, so this article during the discussion with a qualitative analysis methods, through dollar at different times to discuss changes in the international status of its different effects of international trade, particular emphasis on an analysis of its effects and trade deficit causes. In conclusion, on the basis of history, and analysis of the current in the case of the falling dollar, its possible future impact of world trade. For the euro currency effects arising from regional trade, in combination with theoretical analysis, based on the trade of the euro area through an empirical analysis of statistical data to prove that the trade of the euro area monetary unification produced a trade creation effect and the transfer effect, and trade creation effect than transfer effect. In summing up the successful experience of the euro area on the basis of further monetary integration in Japan and South Korea feasibility issues were discussed. First, Japan and South Korea through bilateral trade, trade dependence and other indicators of analysis, pointing out CJK monetary integration has a good foundation and feasibility trade. Then on to discuss the choice of the single currency, the yuan and the yen through the comparison made a more objective assessment that both have their own advantages and disadvantages, and in the future monetary integration, the yuan should be ranked first in the weight A. Finally to achieve monetary unification will likely bring Japan and South Korea to expand regional trade effects. This paper argues that in the long term, the yuan may become a regional center of currency, the U.S. dollar as the world should learn from the experience of the center currency, fully maintain its exchange rate stability and as a means of payment in the settlement and the widespread use of regional trade, thereby to promote regional trade growth and the realization of RMB regionalization. But for now, the RMB regionalization still in its infancy, the future is still a long way to go.

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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Economic calculation, economic and mathematical methods > Economic and mathematical methods
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