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Inner Mongolian Correlation Analysis of Primary Energy Consumption to Economical Cyclical Fluctuation

Author: XuTing
Tutor: EErDunZhaBu
School: Inner Mongolia Normal
Course: Political Economics
Keywords: Primary energy Economic cycle Energy consumption elasticity coefficient
CLC: F206
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2007
Downloads: 185
Quote: 0
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Abstract


Experience and logic have proved that any mode of economic development has emerged as cyclical fluctuations, according to China's economic scholars, since the reform and opening up, China's economic development process has gone through a complete economic cycle. Fluctuations in the economy after 1977, national income, there was no negative or near zero growth (the lowest was 4.9% in 1981). Inner Mongolia's economic growth also showed cyclical fluctuations characteristics. From the economic cycle theory, the Inner Mongolia's economic growth after 1980 gradually moved to the stage of the growth cycle dominant. This period it is also China's reform and opening-up policy, the transition from a planned economy to a market economy, and gradually get rid of the highly centralized under a period of human error on the economic impact. Therefore, the fluctuations of the economy but also reflect the inherent characteristics of the economic development. So, in this period of economic development in Inner Mongolia fluctuations in primary energy consumption showed how features and economic development, what kind of relationship? By the author of Inner Mongolia from 1980 to 2006 data calculated on these issues Empirical Analysis. \\Meanwhile, in order to reduce the differences caused by subjective factors in the determination process, on the basis of the \Bit line represents the number of variables as a data center, it is often more useful than the average statistical variables, it is not as susceptible to the influence of individual extreme data mean. Determination of the cyclical fluctuations of Inner Mongolia's economic reform and opening up. Inner Mongolia capacity large energy-hungry. Primary energy consumption as endogenous factors of economic growth, played a larger role in supporting economic growth in Inner Mongolia. Especially in the \Tenth Five-Year \Through analysis of primary energy consumption since the reform and opening up, running comparison of characteristics for primary energy consumption and economic cycles, the fluctuations in the economy of Inner Mongolia phasing. High degree of dependence of economic growth on energy consumption by primary energy consumption of the economic cycle empirical analysis, the primary energy consumption and economic growth Phases. Therefore, the process of economic development in the future to focus on the development of energy and economic growth reality, energy consumption can neither be lagging behind in economic growth, can not be too ahead of economic growth; efforts to improve energy efficiency, reduce energy consumption rate in order to promote the sustained, rapid and healthy growth.

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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Management of National Economy > Energy Management
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