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Study on North-Going Tropical Cyclone and Its Information of Monitoring and Forecasting

Author: WuPeng
Tutor: LiuDaGang
School: Dalian Maritime University
Course: Traffic Information Engineering \u0026 Control
Keywords: Maritime Traffic Safety North tropical cyclone Statistical analysis Monitoring and early warning information Ship Safety Management
CLC: U675.12
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2008
Downloads: 47
Quote: 0
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Abstract


Disasters caused by tropical cyclones each year to our northern waters (herein referred to as TC) is not much, but once the losses caused enormous. Order to compensate for the lack of northward TC the impact of research on the safety of the ship, to strengthen the management of the safety of the ship for TC northward, both from the theoretical and practical aspects of the northward TC to the temporary safety of the ship management depth, it is necessary in this regard related work, a comprehensive summary and analysis northward TC mechanisms and management tools to provide a theoretical basis for the shipping companies to establish effective anti-anti achieve to reduce the economic losses caused the ship northward TC, the purpose of reducing casualties. In this paper, a statistical analysis of the meteorological department for many years northward TC observations northward TC occurrence frequency path characteristics and Weather characteristics, and northward TC strength characteristics of climate science, the law, the review and summarize, given a relatively simple and straightforward the conclusion for ship safety management. The statistical analysis of the ship safety accidents caused by the maritime safety administration department northward TC northward TC possible harm to the safety of the ship were summarized and analyzed. Tracking and research in recent years on the Internet TC monitoring, early warning and forecast information on the TC generation, the development of the weather and path prediction and daily forecast level overview; ship safety management concern the TC means of monitoring and monitoring of information sources are summarized; exchanges with many experienced captain and safety management, the basis for discussion on the Internet is more practical, credible can be used for day-to-day TC forecasts important Source site were introduced and recommended. Finally, for the ship anti-anti-TC operation, the weather forecast provided by the presence of TC center future fall into too small circular error probability probability problem, based on 2001.2006 96 TC 1092 times in Japan, and the United States the Three 24hTC path forecast results for statistical analysis, based on multi-source prediction TC center fall into the future to determine the probability circle. The methods for the shipping safety management and the captain more quickly determine the TC center near the danger zone, provide a the important scientific quantitative analysis of reference for the development of anti-anti-TC program.

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CLC: > Transportation > Waterway transport > Marine Engineering > Ship sailing school > Maritime basic science > Nautical meteorology, tidal
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