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Research on Benefit Evaluation of Expressway Project Operation

Author: YuZuoChang
Tutor: KangCanHua
School: Wuhan University of Technology
Course: Management Science and Engineering
Keywords: Highway Operation benefit Target system Appraisal model
CLC: F540
Type: PhD thesis
Year: 2008
Downloads: 1072
Quote: 9
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This article from the project angle, in utilization economic and the management science correlation theories year, according to the service flow and the participation project all quarters main body benefit behavior, conducts the research to the highway project operation stage benefit. The key point is the analysis highway project operation stage benefit influence factor. In this foundation, the construction operation benefit appraisal system, establishes the operation benefit quality synthetic evaluation model, and applies this model in the project real diagnosis, Discovers the real diagnosis project in the operation stage existence question, thus proposed enhances the highway project operation benefit the suggestion.The dissertation can be divided into ten chapters. The first chapter is the introductory remarks, mainly on the research background, the goal and the significance has carried on the explanation, simultaneously to the domestic and foreign project operation benefit appraisal, the quality synthetic evaluation way research present situation has carried on the elaboration. Second chapter main elaboration highway project operation benefit appraisal rationale. Third chapter main analysis highway operation benefit concept as well as based on operation mechanism, operation environment operation benefit production mechanism. The highway operation benefit, is refers to the highway operation control section or the enterprise utilizes the science the modern management method and the effective management development measure, At causes under the premise which the highway facility the function can display fully, use highway itself and the resources obtain along the route benefit. It including internal benefit and exterior benefit. Fourth chapter key research influence high speed operation benefit essential factor - - volume of traffic and uncertainty analysis. The present future traffic volume estimating method all is under the determination condition the modelling, forecast the process all has not introduced the uncertainty factor. However this cannot reflect the real world the real situation. In fact many with the volume of traffic correlation factor is mostly the stochastic variable. This chapter uses the research to carry on the highway transportation demand based on the Latin ultra cubic sampling system simulation method the uncertainty forecast. Fifth chapter to the seventh chapter separately on the highway operation stage social efficiency, the management benefit and the combined earnings appraisal content, the target system, the appraisal model has carried on the analysis, and carries on the contrast analysis to the appraisal model. The highway social efficiency appraisal uses the multistage synthesis fuzzy judgment model, according to target system request which establishes, has used four level of synthesis fuzzy judgment model. The model has profited from Fuzzy from the judgment model determination degree of membership method, determines the quota target the degree of membership. The union project management and operation reality, mainly from the highway project operation scheme efficiency, the management and operation level and the financial benefit three aspects constructs the project operation management benefit appraisal system, carries on the project operation management benefit appraisal to it.In the highway operation social efficiency target system establishment process, uses the fuzzy clustering law to screen the target. The highway project operation management benefit appraisal target divides into the stationary index and the quota target two kinds. The stationary index adopts the form which the expert grades, the quota target use power function. As an operation benefit good highway project, not only has the good social efficiency, also should have the good operation management benefit. The highway project operation benefit quality synthetic evaluation, namely carries on the quality synthetic evaluation from the project operation social efficiency and the project operation management benefit two aspects to the highway project.The highway project operation benefit quality synthetic evaluation, considered the appraisal object the characteristic as well as each kind of quality synthetic evaluation method applicable scope, has constructed based on the intelligent algorithm quality synthetic evaluation method. Namely BP appraisal model and RS-NFS appraisal model. Through the comparison discovered the BP appraisal model and the RS-NFS appraisal model all has the quite high precision, in which RS-NFS appraisal model achieved assigns the precision iteration number of times are least, the appraisal model precision is highest.Eighth chapter is the real diagnosis research.Ninth chapter is to enhances the highway project operation benefit in the theory and the real diagnosis foundation to enhance the countermeasure. These Countermeasures optimize, the operation cost control, the toll tariff macro-scientific policy-making including the operation system. Tenth chapter has carried on the summary to the full text research.The present dissertation characteristic mainly manifests in: (1) in the research basic angle of view, embarks from the highway project operation stage benefit angle, has carried on the thorough analysis to the highway operation benefit production mechanism. (2) in the research content, to the highway project operation stage management system, the internal and external environment, the human resources and the financial control has carried on the analysis, specially to affected the operation benefit the essential factor - - volume of traffic and the uncertainty has conducted the thorough research. (3) in the research technique, utilized the system theory, engineering project theories and so on management theory, benefit analysis theory, achievements appraisal theory, quality synthetic evaluation theory, information economics has carried on the analysis to the highway project operation benefit. (4) in the research results, has established based on the neural network, based on the thick collection - - nerve fuzzy system and based on the SVM highway operation benefit appraisal model.

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