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Based on the statistical data of the official1978-2009years, by using the method of descriptive statistics, analysis and forecast combination, by the reaction of carbon emission level two key indicators--carbon emissions and carbon emissions per unit of GDP strength as the basic analysis index, examines the history and the future change trend and regularity between carbon emissions and economic growth in China, the study of Chinese carbon emission situation facing the prospect of carbon emissions, China in the future, to ease Chinese carbon emission pressure, solution to the problem of carbon emissions, carbon emissions and economic growth coordinated, sustainable development path.Research shows that, there exists a causal relationship between positive correlation, significant significant and long-term stable equilibrium relationship between Chinese carbon emissions and economy GDP. Carbon emissions and economic output is reciprocal causation between carbon emissions, economic output is a GDP two function, CKC curve of carbon emissions as an inverted U shape, and it will reach to the peak in the period of2018-2020, the increasingly severe situation of future carbon emissions.During2010to2020years, Chinese carbon emission per unit of GDP shows trend of decreased first and then increased, with the advent of carbon emission peak around2018-2020, Chinese economic growth rate will slow to slow the growth in carbon emissions, and beyond to finish after the peak of the carbon emissions, carbon emissions down, Chinese economic aggregate will also drop, economic growth pattern extensive will maintain with difficulty in the emission of carbon into the peak. In2020year, carbon emissions per unit of GDP predictive value is15.12tons per million, and the conference of2011commitment on carbon emission reduction target14.10tons per million to15.39tons per million compared to2020year, Chinese carbon emissions per unit of GDP implementation in2005lower than the goal of40%to45%is very difficult. Chinese carbon dioxide emissions situation is very grim, carbon emission reduction task is very arduous.Therefore, the carbon emissions of China should attach great importance to the economic growth, and further accelerate the transformation of the mode of economic growth, promote low carbon economic growth, deepening the industrial structure adjustment, promote the industrial low-carbon development, actively optimizing energy structure, promoting low-carbon energy consumption, and vigorously promote scientific and technological innovation, promote the production technology of low carbonization. To promote the coordination, carbon emissions and economic sustainable growth.
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