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The Research of Shanghai Composite Index Movement and Tendency Based on Wave Theory

Author: LiBingFeng
Tutor: ChenJingDong
School: Xi'an University of Technology
Course: Management Science and Engineering
Keywords: Wave theory Shanghai Composite Index Stock market Technical analysis
CLC: F832.51
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2008
Downloads: 125
Quote: 0
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Abstract


Along with Chinese economy high speed development and people income level is enhancing gradually, the people are seeking for various investment channel, increases the property income; At the same time, the enterprise also needs to carry on financing fully using the social surplus capital, to develop the enterprise’s management and operation, gained the profit maximization, the stock market formation has happened to met the needs of two sides. Present stage, on the one hand is because our country stock market start is quite late, the time ofthe general investors enter the market are short, they could not have the mature securities investment experience very quickly; On the other hand, our country has not followed in the securities investment aspect’s related education. How to enhance our country negotiable securities investor is the general investor’s securities investment level specially, is the question which in the theory and the practice urgently awaits to be solved.This paper through analyzes the wave theory earnestly the basic content and the application basic principle, and unifies China stock market the reality, the dwell upon had the very strong representative Shanghai Composite Index historical trend, and carries on the trend wave shape using the wave theory the division, discovered that the Shanghai Composite Index the movement as well as the trend conform to Ai Luete’s Wave Theory completely. The present stage, the Shanghai Composite Index is being in wave (2) adjustment of wave 3 in waveⅢ, the index already presented the low points 2267,but according to Wave Theory’s basic principle, the wave (2) adjustment of wave 3 in waveⅢcannot break 998 points (i.e. The low spot of wave (1)), the convention opens the new round rising market immediately. Take the above analysis as the foundation, the comprehensive of fundamental situation and other technical specification conducts the research to the Shanghai Composite Index, will make one of judgement to the Shanghai Composite Index future trend approximately, obtains in the future in the short-term (in 2009-2012), the Shanghai Composite Index will end the 3th rising wave of waveⅢ, the stock index will achieve above 6124 spots; In the future the intermediate stage (in 2012-2020), the stock index will carry on one depth WaveⅣadjustment; In the future long-term (in 2020-2035), the Shanghai Composite Index enters waveⅤand the highest stock index may achieve the above 10000 spots.

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CLC: > Economic > Fiscal, monetary > Finance, banking > China's financial,banking > Financial market
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