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The export impact study of the RMB exchange rate volatility on the Shanghai

Author: WangZuo
Tutor: ChenJianAn
School: Fudan University
Course: Finance
Keywords: Exchange Rate Volatility Exporting Trade REER Co-integration Test
CLC: F752.62
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2009
Downloads: 145
Quote: 0
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Abstract


The RMB exchange rate formation mechanism reform was launched by China government in July, 2005. After that, the RMB exchange rate constantly hit a new record. As an important economic lever and a key factor to a country and region’s importing and exporting trade, the exchange rate is playing an increasingly important role in the whole world’s economy. With the new record of the RMB exchange rate, Shanghai’s export keeps growing quickly. Two questions are coming out following that: What is its influence on Shanghai’s export? Is the exchange rate the main factor to Shanghai’s export flow?The paper builds an empirical model based on Shanghai’s export data and makes an analysis on the influence of RMB exchange rate. The results show that the appreciation of RMB did not reduce Shanghai’s trade surplus and the exchange rate is not the main factor to Shanghai’s trade flow.The paper has a creativeness of the regional economic perspective in research of the influence of RMB appreciation to Shanghai’s export. For the inadequacies of the limited sample’s data and the influence of the export by the international financial crisis, the accuracy of the empirical results may need further study.

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CLC: > Economic > Trade and Economic > States foreign trade > China's foreign trade > Import and Export Trade Overview > Export trade
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