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Energy and Environment Scenario Analysis for Resident Sector Based on LEAP

Author: ZuoShuGuang
Tutor: XuGuangYin
School: Henan Agricultural University
Course: Agricultural Biological Environmental and Energy Engineering
Keywords: Living LEAP Scenario Analysis Energy demand Environmental Impact
CLC: F126;F206
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2010
Downloads: 299
Quote: 4
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Abstract


With the goal of building a moderately prosperous society forward, the living standards of urban and rural residents continued to improve, life energy continues to grow, exacerbating the tight energy supply situation, and because the consumption of energy resources caused serious environmental problems also weakened the quality of life for residents . In this context, research at home and abroad on the basis of the model through the application of domestic and international energy situation analysis, applied long-term energy alternative planning system LEAP (Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system) software to urban and rural residents in Henan Province for the empirical research object, the establishment of Energy and Environment, Henan Province, the living model-HenanLEAP. HenanLEAP model studies including residents living with everyday family life can be a variety of energy consumption, the main part of a kitchen, hot water, heating, air conditioning, lighting and household appliances such as energy consumption. In order to fully reflect the urban and rural residents in the composition of energy consumption and energy consumption levels exist significant differences in the model of the urban residents and rural energy consumption is divided into two parts, respectively, are described and computational analysis. Henan classification method combining statistical information as well as living energy characteristics, this study in 2005 as the base year, from the end-use of perspective, the life energy into lighting, cooking, hot water, heating, air conditioning, household appliances 6 parts. Model driven factors such as economic growth, population size, urbanization, the number of households and so on. Research in ensuring growth in energy demand of living under the premise of \Provincial environmental impact of living with energy needs. The model simulated three different scenarios of Henan Province in 2005-2030 years living energy needs and environmental impacts. Simulation results show that: the strength and technology to promote the implementation of policies on energy demand and energy level structure has a greater impact, three different scenarios of energy demand maximum difference reached 8.5Mtce, and the terminal direct consumption of energy generated by the GWP ( global warming potential) emissions in three different scenarios declining, residents from three scenarios life energy emission structure can be seen, most of the emissions tended to decrease, and only an average annual N2O 0.82% -3.09% growth rate, the other is to 3.09% -6.72% annual decline in growth. To the adoption of the above research, energy policy analysis for the residents to explore the ways and measures energy research provides a theoretical basis for the development of Henan Province, the development of regional energy policy and energy to provide a theoretical basis for early warning.

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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Management of National Economy > Energy Management
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