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The Empirical Analysis on the Influence of China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves on Price Level

Author: ZhouXueQin
Tutor: HaoYan
School: Guangdong University of Foreign Studies
Course: International Trade
Keywords: Foreign exchange reserves Price level Money supply Foreign Exchange Reserves
CLC: F726
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2009
Downloads: 382
Quote: 2
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Abstract


Since 1994 , China 's foreign exchange system reform , China's foreign exchange reserves , the rapid expansion of the scale , the growth of foreign exchange reserves had a greater impact on our domestic economy . The foreign exchange reserves are an important link to connect the domestic will melt with the international financial and both macroeconomic performance results and is also an important means of macroeconomic regulation and control . In domestic economic activity , the price level is an important indicator to measure domestic economic conditions . The rapid growth of foreign exchange reserves and the volatility of the price level has become two outstanding problems of our economy , domestic academia and policy departments . Therefore, the study is limited in the empirical analysis of the impact of the growth of China's foreign exchange reserves on the price level within . At present , China's most scholars focused on the study of foreign exchange reserves, the appropriate scale of foreign exchange reserves to influence the effect of monetary policy , some scholars systematic analysis on the relationship between China 's foreign exchange reserves and the price level , which Empirical Analysis rare . Based on this , the impact on the price level of China's foreign exchange reserves growth for the study of the core, the use of normative and empirical analysis of a combination , a combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis method , the 1981-2007 annual data is selected as the sample space , respectively, from the long-term empirical analysis of the relationship between China 's foreign exchange reserves and the price level and short-term perspectives . Finally , on the basis of the conclusions in the empirical analysis , we tried to put forward policy recommendations to ease the pressure of the growth of China's foreign exchange reserves rise in the price level . Refined through the literature , the reason perish analysis and empirical analysis , we draw the following conclusions: passing mechanism from the theoretical analysis is concerned by the amount of foreign exchange, base money and money supply , the growth of China's foreign exchange reserves will cause the price level rose . The empirical results show that : the long term , China's foreign exchange reserves and the price level of a positive correlation between the growth of foreign exchange reserves caused by the rise of the price level . In the short term, the People's Bank of China to actively take foreign exchange write-off measures , the changes in China's foreign exchange reserves and will not affect the volatility of the price level , the foreign exchange reserves growth will not necessarily lead to the rise of the price level .

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CLC: > Economic > Trade and Economic > China's domestic trade and economic > Price
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