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Research on the Application of Fuzzy AHP in the Decision-making of International Shipping Investment

Author: SongJian
Tutor: ZhangShengWen
School: Dalian Maritime University
Course: Management Science and Engineering
Keywords: Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process International shipping Investment decisions
CLC: F224
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2008
Downloads: 883
Quote: 9
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Abstract

With the rapid development of the international shipping industry , international shipping investment activities have become increasingly frequent and growing international shipping investment decisions has become increasingly important in the operation and development of the shipping companies . With the development of decision - making technology , international shipping investment decisions facing the challenges of the new situation . Traditional method of decision-making from the point of view of the increased revenue to invest in new methods need to take into account a variety of factors such as changing the shipping market , return on investment , business environment and investment risks . To solve the problem of decision-making that this contains a lot of uncertainties , traditional mathematical optimization method can not model a lot of factors , the results are often divorced from reality . Experienced experts , however , by relying on the experience often can come up with a better solution , which rely on the subjective judgment of the lack of a theoretical basis , and there is a greater causal factors , such as knowledge and experience of experts has a significant dependence . Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process analysis based on its application to international shipping in the investment decision-making , the establishment of a decision-making model container liner routes rely selected . Container port and the Bohai Sea , Dalian Port , Qingdao Port and Tianjin Port made ??an in-depth analysis of research . Weights of by senior shipping investment consulting experts to determine the indicators of the hierarchical structure model index weights and options , and finally calculate the the synthesis weights established evaluation results obtained to choose container liner shipping companies in the Bohai Sea region route port of call prioritization scheme . Decision-making model , this paper established mathematical optimization and the advantages of expert decision , but also to overcome the limitations of both . Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy system to handle contains a variety of quantitative and qualitative factors in the decision-making issues and decision - making factors of uncertainty and can fully reflect the views and preferences of multiple decision-making body . By qualitative analysis and quantitative description of the use of fuzzy analytic hierarchy process for international shipping investment decisions , which provide valuable theoretical reference for the shipping business investment decisions .

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