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Risk Assessment Model of Purchasing Electricity for Power Grid Based on Profit at Risk Constraint

Author: HuangZuo
Tutor: ZhangCaiQing
School: North China Electric Power University (Hebei)
Course: Management Science and Engineering
Keywords: Power purchase risk Risk and profit Risk-benefit balancing Monte Carlo simulation Genetic Algorithms
CLC: F426.61
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2009
Downloads: 71
Quote: 1
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Abstract


Grid Corporation for a single purchase to power suppliers purchase of electricity to sell electricity market model , the grid company faces many previously risk . To solve this problem , this paper focuses purchasing electricity grid company risk research , conducted a comprehensive analysis of the risk factors in the process of power purchase on grid enterprises , and integrate risk factors affect factor in the form of an integrated risk ; introduction of risk-free profits this new risk assessment indicators , this indicator is to consider a more comprehensive non - market price of of electricity risk and liquidity risk factors ; based on risk and profit maximization optimization goals , and in the power generation companies and power grid enterprise risk the equilibrium constraints establish power purchase risk model be achieved using intelligent algorithms . Henan Electric Power Company for the object to verify the effect of the model , and propose appropriate risk prevention measures . I hope the proposed method and model for the purchase of electricity for the power grid enterprises optimization and risk research provides a new way of thinking .

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