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RMB internationalization development opportunity and risk analysis

Author: ZhangBoJun
Tutor: KangZengKui
School: Capital University of Economics
Course:
Keywords: RMB Internationalization Opportunity Risk Analysis
CLC: F832.6
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2014
Downloads: 5
Quote: 0
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Abstract


In the context of the US subprime mortgage crisis and European debt crisis, both USand Euro countries adopted extremely loose monetary policies in order to recover theeconomy. It led US dollar and euro, which are international currencies, get depreciation.Consequently, many countries who reserve dollars and euro, including China, suffered abig loss. After that, the demands of currency diversification appeared among countries. Itbrought an opportunity to RMB for going forward as an international currency.Firstly, the paper talks about the current achievement of RMB internationalizationthrough the situation of share in trade and position in international currency market.Secondly, this paper analyzes the opportunity of RMB internationalization. It talksfrom the external environment for opportunities and internal environment for status todiscuss the situation and future of RMB internationalization by using large amount of data.After that, the paper studies about the risks which come with the internationalizationfrom a view of present and a sight of future. This study is divided into two aspects–macroand micro. In the macro way, it talks about the risks including the Triffin Dilemma, theImpossible Trinity, macro-control policies, exchange rate, and capital flows. Then, theauthor indicates solutions to the risks. In the micro level, the article focuses on the riskstoward foreign-related companies in China. The risks from RMB internationalization areclassified into three types–transaction risk, accounting risk, and operation risk. The authoranalyzes this part by data and cases, and provides some methods and suggestions for eachtype of the risks.

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CLC: > Economic > Fiscal, monetary > Finance, banking > China's financial,banking > Exchange rate,foreign financial relations
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