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Mark in the area of carbon emissions \

Author: SunYaoHua
Tutor: LiZhongMin
School: Shaanxi Normal University
Course: Population, Resources and Environmental Economics
Keywords: Mark in Carbon emissions Tunnel mode Environmental Kuznets Curve
CLC: X701
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2011
Downloads: 120
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Abstract

At this stage, the main features of global warming climate change has become a threat to human survival and development of the primary environmental problems, which the international community's attention. Global climate change and domestic energy saving in the background, how to use the advantage of technical, institutional innovation, and international cooperation in climate funding for developing countries with technical support, while maintaining regional economic development, improving people's livelihood on the premise , to achieve carbon dioxide emissions EKC turning point ahead of the arrival and the peak of the curve to reduce carbon emissions, namely carbon emissions to achieve academic evolution path called \is also the main topic of this thesis. This thesis is divided into six parts: the first part is the introductory section paper, writing paper introduces the background, meaning, structure, research methods and articles major innovations. The second part is the literature review section, mainly on the domestic and foreign scholars in the environmental Kuznets curve, drivers decomposition of carbon emissions carbon emissions data to predict future aspects of the research were reviewed with the aim of tracking international and domestic academic circles in the latest state of research in this area, to learn from past academic research in this area of ??outstanding achievements, provide the basis for the thesis writing theory, methods, tools and other aspects of support. Environmental Kuznets curve as the start of economic growth and environmental quality changes linked to the conduct of the research paradigm, it is proposed that both development and theories defective development of the theory on the latter play an important role in the guidance and inspiration. Carbon dioxide as economic development, energy consumption, one of the products, but also a measure of environmental quality and the sustainability of economic development an important indicator, naturally, can be incorporated into the Environmental Kuznets Curve research areas to go. The section on the Environmental Kuznets Curve abroad on research results are summarized and found that \Decoupling theory on the one hand as an environmental Kuznets curve is that the latest developments in its quantified, making the mode of economic growth in different countries can be quantified environmental benefits compared to a certain extent, on the other hand made carbon emissions in developing countries The relative intensity of carbon emissions reduction targets rather than an absolute reduction targets provides a theoretical basis. But the Environmental Kuznets Curve and decoupling theory only on economic growth and environmental quality of the relationship between qualitative and quantitative description, and did not clearly indicate the factors affecting both its mode of action, let alone for The quantitative analysis of factors affecting. In recent years, as people on the issue of climate change and carbon emissions growing concern for drivers of carbon emissions Decomposition of gradually increased, which has become the development of rational development of low carbon emission reduction policies and economic measures basic work. Scholars now generally use logarithmic mean Di's index decomposition method (Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index method, hereinafter referred to as LMDI) on carbon emissions for the drivers of decomposition, but the analysis is on most domestic or part of China's overall industrial development produced by decomposition of carbon emissions factors, the lack of a specific study of different provinces, thus resulting policy recommendations for the guidance of different provinces to carry out conservation work lack of appropriate targeted and operable. ① Therefore, in this paper, in order to mark it with a case study of a certain degree of innovation and application value. Taking into account China provinces in population size, industrial structure, technological level, energy resource endowments and other aspects of a huge difference, for provinces carbon emissions scenarios predict the future development of rational conservation policy is particularly important, as previous scholars mark in this area during the coming changes in carbon emissions in the process of model predictions and parameter settings resumes provide a valuable reference, theoretical overview of the last part of other scholars in this research also made the corresponding description. The third part right and part of the eastern provinces of the country and mark regions of carbon emissions between 2001 and 2008 were compared with the general characteristics and analysis. Article IV method using LMDI Guanzhong area between 2001 and 2008 changes in carbon emissions driving factor decomposition analysis of different factors in the area of ??carbon emissions change. This design carbon emissions factors include regional economic output, changes in industrial structure, demographic change, energy efficiency changes, and changes in the energy mix, to find out the different factors on the mark in the region affect the size of the change in carbon emissions, which is made targeted reductions and developing low-carbon economy to provide an empirical basis for policy recommendations. The fifth part of the article on the different scenarios in the region mark the path to predict changes in carbon emissions, including in the different economic growth rate, industry structure, population size, urbanization, energy consumption structure optimization, technological progress, policy enforcement domestic and international cooperation in the energy saving aspects of the degree of carbon emissions under different scenarios change, analysis of different reduction pathways for the next 40 years the impact of carbon emissions. In addition, this section is also based on China at the Copenhagen climate conference to the international community to make the carbon intensity by 2020 compared to 2005 decreased by 40% -45% of the solemn commitment, through the use of carbon intensity reduction targets and minimize the cost of the country as a whole principles calculations mark regions four provinces emission quota allocation for the mark in the four provinces of the relevant functional departments to develop appropriate mitigation policies and path reference. Finally, for the mark in the region to carry out energy conservation and development of low-carbon economy made policy recommendations for relevant reference.

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