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Study on Passenger Volume Forecasting and Scale Determination of Urban Rail Transfer Station

Author: WangYuPing
Tutor: ZhangYaPing
School: Harbin Institute of Technology
Course: Transportation Planning and Management
Keywords: Rail transport Transfer site Passenger attract Range Passenger flow forecast Scale
CLC: U239.5
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2010
Downloads: 243
Quote: 0
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Abstract


With the continuous improvement of the level of urbanization , the supply capacity of the city 's existing public transport facilities have become increasingly unable to meet the growing travel demand . Therefore , many domestic cities began to turn its attention to speed fast, large volume, high punctuality of urban rail transit system . However, due to the special nature of the rail transportation system , its construction cost is huge , as rail transit passenger distribution and transit node transfer site , its direct impact on the size of the overall cost of the system as a whole . Therefore , how to accurately control the size of the transfer site , become an important aspect of the rail transit system service levels , reduce the project 's overall cost . In this paper, the method for determining the size of the home and abroad, urban rail transit transfer station on the basis of analysis of the characteristics of transfer between rail transit transfer site within facilities , rail transportation and other transportation and China has - Metro site problems. Introduction of urban rail transit transfer site passenger attract the scope of the concept , according to different Cohesion and rail transportation , it is divided into three types of passenger attract the scope of to establish generalized travel time based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process model and its constraints , were established all kinds attract scoping model , given the model algorithm , and laid the foundation for the transfer site traffic forecasts . The use of the Generalized Logit non gathering model residents travel route selection probability model , and gives the two calibration method of the model parameters . On this basis , drawing on the four-phase traffic forecast trip generation forecasts and travel distribution prediction method to establish a range of rail transit transfer site pitted attract all kinds of passenger traffic , outbound traffic and to transfer traffic forecast model , to provide a basis for determining a reasonable scale for the construction of rail transit transfer site . Site internal facilities site on the basis of the above research , the vertical movement of the facilities , automatic fare collection facilities , such as the size of calculation method for determining the same platform transfer , the node transfer two transfer in the form of rail transit change multiplied to determine the size of the site facilities . The intersection formed last Harbin City subway line and the fifth line Longjiang Street transfer site as an example case analysis .

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CLC: > Transportation > Rail transport > Special railway > Urban railway, suburban railway
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