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New Exploration of real estate development projects in the investment decision-making method

Author: YiXiaoZuo
Tutor: WangYuRong
School: University of Foreign Trade and Economic
Course: Business Administration
Keywords: Real estate Investment decisions The value of the project NPV method Real Options
CLC: F293.3
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2006
Downloads: 691
Quote: 3
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Abstract


The real estate industry is a cyclical industry , there is great flexibility in the investment field . Traditional investment decision-making method applied to the real estate investment decisions increasingly reflect its limitations , especially for flexibility in decision-making , and combined with the real option rule can be used to evaluate the value of flexibility to make investment decisions more scientific and reasonable . In this article, the author combines real estate development projects , the current widespread use of traditional decision-making models , especially the discounted cash flow ( net present value ) method , in-depth study to explore how to solve the defects and limitations of the traditional decision-making model , put forward a set of real options evaluation model , through the analysis of the existing situation and existing problems of China's real estate business investment decisions , on the one hand , pointed out the need for the use of real options to solve these problems ; On the other hand , is not completely negate the traditional method , but the traditional method with which to combine the analysis of uncertainty under conditions suitable for China's real estate enterprises established on the basis of the various types of investment decision-making model : flexibility in the value of the present value of the future cash flows of the project value = project . Pricing process to the project to determine the value of the part of ( the project's future cash inflows present value ) in NPV terms ; uncertain part of the value that the flexibility value ( This article also known as option value ) , drawing on the Black-scholes option pricing model assessment calculation more complete estimate of the value of the real estate investment projects , to provide a reference for managers to investment decisions . Final verification instructions to the author for many years engaged in the the SHL real estate company to develop the project B instance . Research to find a scientific method , quantitative evaluation of unable to accurately estimate the various investment opportunities , the value of flexibility , more accurate analysis and evaluation of real estate investment projects , and make more scientific and rational decision - making .

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CLC: > Economic > Economic planning and management > Urban and municipal economy > Urban Economics and Management > The real estate economy
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