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An Empirical Reseearch on the Economic Effects on Home OCkuntry of Ourward Direct Investiment of East Asian Emerging Economies

Author: ZhangHaiBo
Tutor: LiuHongZhong
School: Liaoning University
Course: World economy
Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment Economic effects Emerging economies Home country
CLC: F224
Type: PhD thesis
Year: 2011
Downloads: 466
Quote: 0
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Abstract


Foreign direct investment (Outward Direct Investments, ODI) was originally developed country-specific economic phenomenon in developing countries due to the weak foundation of the domestic economy, foreign direct investment is very limited. 1980, more than 90% of global foreign direct investment from developed countries (World Investment Report 2005). Since the late 1980s, however, the developing countries, especially in emerging East Asian economies (NIEs) of foreign direct investment scale rapid growth, rapidly developed into a major source of one of the regions of the world capital for (Suh and Seo 1997; UNCTAD 2005; Petri 2005). East Asian emerging economies, foreign direct investment accounted for only 2.6% of the world's total in 1980, the proportion has reached 9.4% in 2009, and became the most concentrated area of ??the developing countries, foreign direct investment, accounting for the developing countries, foreign direct The total investment is 66.4% (World Investment Report 2010). The traditional theoretical study focused on foreign direct investment in developed countries, the recent years, with the rapid growth in developing countries, foreign direct investment scale for how the economic effect of the mother country has become the focus of the study. In this thesis combing theoretical literature on the basis of the analysis of the basic characteristics and determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging economies in East Asia, 1980-2009 data empirical analysis of the emerging East Asian economies, foreign direct investment for the effect of economic growth in the home country, the international trade effect, employment effect, technology spillovers and industrial structure adjustment effect around these problems, this paper carried out a study of the five dimensions of the sub. Child study an analysis of the emerging East Asian economies, foreign direct investment for the economic growth of the home country effect, first, with the IDP theory as well as foreign direct investment for economic growth conduction mechanism models to identify research framework, using cointegration analysis, Granger causality test analysis the different effects of the economic growth of foreign direct investment in emerging East Asian economies in different countries (regions), and comparative analysis. Sub-study two emerging East Asian economies to foreign direct investment for the import and export trade of the mother country, the first analysis of different types of foreign direct investment for the spread of international trade mechanisms, the use of the panel cointegration panel causal analysis method to analysis of foreign direct investment for East Asia The different effects of the economic growth of the emerging economies of different countries (regions), and a comparative analysis. Sub-study three analysis of emerging East Asian economies foreign direct investment for the employment of the home country's First analysis of foreign direct investment on employment impact mechanism, establish the mathematical model and the use of regression analysis and mathematical projections such as analysis of foreign direct investment for East Asian emerging economy body employment impact of the different countries (regions), and a comparative analysis. Sub-study four analysis of emerging East Asian economies foreign direct investment for the effects of the mother country Reverse technical overflow, the first analysis of foreign direct investment for the home country technology overflow of micro-and macro-conduction mechanism VAR model and variance decomposition method for analysis of foreign direct investment for East Asian emerging economy different effects in different countries (regions) technology spillover and comparative analysis. Sub-study five emerging East Asian economies, foreign direct investment for the industrial structure of the home country, the first analysis of the transmission mechanism of foreign direct investment for the industrial structure, the use of cointegration analysis and Granger causality analysis, regression analysis method to analysis of foreign direct investment in East Asia The different effects of the industrial structure of the emerging economies of different countries (regions), and a comparative analysis. Through the above analysis, the following main conclusions: Conclusion 1, \there are differences. Enhance GDP and per capita income levels in China, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines and Taiwan is the Granger cause foreign direct investment growth, while the reverse causal relationship is not established to prove the theory of the five countries (regions) in line with the IDP theory and its extensions . Singapore and Thailand, foreign direct investment increase is the mother of the country's GDP and per capita GDP Granger causes home country GDP and GDP per capita than the foreign direct investment growth Granger cause. Granger causality does not exist in the foreign direct investment and economic growth and per capita income levels in Hong Kong and Indonesia to enhance each other. Conclusion, foreign direct investment in the emerging economies of the East Asian countries (regions), import and export trade have significant trade creation effect, but foreign direct investment, import and export trade of various countries (regions) flexibility with more obvious differences. China, the Philippines and China Taiwan export elasticity of foreign direct investment and imports elasticity greater compared to other countries (regions), foreign direct investment in China, the Philippines, South Korea, Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore six countries can bring the increase in net exports of the home country while foreign direct investment in Taiwan, Hong Kong and Indonesia, the home country's net export effect is negative. In the short term, foreign direct investment in emerging East Asian economies import and export trade of the mother country, the inhibitory effect, but not obvious; contrary, the import and export trade of emerging economies in East Asia was able to significantly driven by the increase in foreign direct investment. From the causal relationship, whether long-term or short-term, foreign direct investment of the emerging economies in East Asia, with import and export trade between each other Granger reason. Conclusion 3, large differences in the employment effects of foreign direct investment in the emerging economies of the East Asian countries (regions). Which produce a supplementary effect on employment in Hong Kong and Singapore, but had little effect, the substitution effect for employment in South Korea, Thailand and the Philippines, the most obvious substitution effect on Thailand's overall employment. Foreign direct investment from specific industries, commerce and trade has significant supplementary effect on employment; affect the general performance of the manufacturing sector foreign direct investment in the home country employment substitution effect; financial sector foreign direct investment on home country employment is generally reflected supplement effect. The employment effects of foreign direct investment in the construction industry for the home country to a lack of consistent findings on the employment effects of the construction industry in South Korea and the Philippines reflects the substitution effect, the employment effects of the construction industry in Hong Kong is not obvious, and foreign direct investment significant increase in China's construction industry jobs. Conclusion 4, most of the emerging economies in East Asia Foreign direct investment showed more obvious reverse technology spillover effect, reverse technology spillover effect of China's foreign direct investment is not significant, negative reverse technology spillover effects of foreign direct investment in Hong Kong. The impact of foreign direct investment in emerging economies in East Asia for the mother country's technological progress and the path difference is large, foreign direct investment in South Korea, Thailand and Malaysia from the long-term technological progress of the mother country have a positive knock-on effects, but with a lag, in the short term within reflects a negative effect; foreign direct investment in Indonesia and Singapore also has a more significant role in promoting the technological progress of the mother country, but there is a negative effect in the respective period. Conclusion 5, the stock of foreign direct investment to GDP changes can significantly affect the home country's industrial structure, countries (regions) of the specific industry, the impact of different levels. Negative effect of the proportion of the first industry, including a larger impact in China, Thailand and Indonesia; effect for the proportion of secondary industry in the performance of travel between the countries (regions) the heterosexual, China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand The impact of the positive effect in Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea and the Philippines, Indonesia, Philippines, China, Thailand, the impact of greater negative effect; heterosexual same performance travel between countries (regions) for the effect of the tertiary industry, positive effect in Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand, China, the Philippines, South Korea and Thailand in greater negative effect in China, Hong Kong, South Korea, the Philippines and Singapore.

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