Dissertation > Excellent graduate degree dissertation topics show

Empirical Research on World Economic Fluctuations Impact on China Economy Based on the Transmission Mechanism

Author: AnXiaoHu
Tutor: LinYong
School: Northwest Normal University
Course: Quantitative Economics
Keywords: economic fluctuation transmission mechanism H-P filtering Timevarying Parameter economic growth
CLC: F124
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2013
Downloads: 5
Quote: 0
Read: Download Dissertation

Abstract


With the rapid growth of China’s total economic output and the unceasing deepening of opening to the outside world,world economic fluctuations have a more significant impact on China’s Macroeconomic.A comprehensive understanding and recognition of this kind of influence,and then determining China’s foreign economic policy have important significance.In order to solve this problem,this paper use the impulse response function and variance decomposition to make Empirical Research on the correlation between world economic fluctuations and China’s foreign trade economy based on VAR model and H-P filtering.Moreover,this paper also conducts empirical analysis on world economic fluctuations impact on China’s economic growth concerning transmission mechanism on the basis of state space model and kalman filtering.Thus,we get the following conclusions.(1)The world economic fluctuations has had a significant positive impact on China’s foreign trade,and the positive influence continues for a long time,which will be basically eliminated at stage7after the initial impact generated.The conclusion shows that with the scale of China’s foreign trade continues to expand,while facing the reality that our foreign trade dependence is high,the development of China’s foreign trade is bound to become more influenced by the world economic fluctuations.But in the environment of today’s world economic weakness and slow economic growth in the United States,Japan and Europe,the possibility of adverse impact of the development of world economy on our country foreign trade economy continuously improve.(2)World economic fluctuations have a significant impact on China’s economic growth through transmission variables.China’s economy has gradually integrated into the world economy,and has been affected by world economic fluctuations, there is obviously positive correlation.From the perspective of respond to fluctuations in the world economy on the basis of the theoretical and empirical analysis,based on the above research, this paper puts forward the following countermeasures.First,we should strengthen the capacity of government to control macro-economic,maintain the stability of the financial system, improve the international cooperation mechanism to prevent and dissolve the risk;Second,fully tapping the potential of the domestic market, reducing the impact of world economic fluctuations on China through trade channels,optimizing the structure of export markets,and spreading the risk of the impact of world economic fluctuations on China;Third,to maintain a stable exchange rate policy and to improve the access of foreign capital "threshold" to guarantee that the sustained and steady development of China’s economy finally based on their power,and while encouraging Chinese enterprises to invest abroad to ease the pressure of economic fluctuations caused by export fluctuations;Finally,we should improve the energy efficiency,strengthen the development of alternative energy,improve the laws and regulations of tourism, and establish the concept of sustainable development.

Related Dissertations

  1. Signal Detection Circuit Design for Slow-Light Optic Fiber Gyroscope,V241.5
  2. The Research of Navigation Multi-Sensor Data Fusion Technology Based on Micro Unmanned Platform,V249.32
  3. Attitude Determination and Finite Time Control Algorithms for a Satellite,V448.222
  4. Polarized-Light/Geomagnetism/GPS/SINS Integrated Navigation Algorithm,V249.328
  5. Establishment and Update of Similar Users’ Cluster in Personalized Information Retrieval,TP391.3
  6. 3D Visualization Research of Medicial Ultrasound Image,TP391.41
  7. Robust Filter Design Based on Polynomially Parameter-dependent Lyapunov Functions,TP13
  8. Subsidence Monitoring and Analysis of Surface Mining Based on Differential Insar,TP274
  9. The Study on the Space-time Evolution of Road Network and the Coupling with Regional Economic Growth of Qinghai Province,F127;F224
  10. The Research on the Relationship between Graduate Scale and Economic Growth,G643
  11. Research on Asymmetric Effects of China’s Monetary Policy,F224
  12. Study on the Economic Growth of Jilin Province Based on Perspective of Manufacturing Industrial Clusters,F427
  13. Taxation, Human Capital Investment and Economic Growth,F812.42
  14. Research in Personalized Information Recommendation Based on Social Tagging,TP393.09
  15. An Academic Research about the Influence of Institutional Culture on Regional Economic Growth,F224
  16. Industrial Aggreagation and Regional Economic Growth,F279.2;F224
  17. Research on the Relationship of China’s Economic Growth and Economic Structure,F124;F121
  18. Relationship Between Education Investment and Economic Growth,F124;F224
  19. A Research about the Relationship between Trade in Financial Services and Economic Growth,F753;F13
  20. Research of New Growth Engine in Liaoning Based on Technical Innovation,F127;F224
  21. Airborne LiDAR Filtering by Fusing Multi-features,TN958.98

CLC: > Economic > The world economic profiles,economic history,economic geography > China's economy > Economic construction and development
© 2012 www.DissertationTopic.Net  Mobile