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Jiangsu rural - urban migration contribute to economic growth rate estimates

Author: SangXiaoFeng
Tutor: LingYingBing
School: Nanjing University of Finance and Economics
Course: Statistics
Keywords: Rural - urban migration Economic growth Contribution rate Estimates
CLC: F127
Type: Master's thesis
Year: 2010
Downloads: 82
Quote: 0
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Abstract


Based on the development of Jiangsu Province, rural - urban migration realistic background for the existing rural-urban migration, Jiangsu Province, the study deficiencies, according to the urban-rural income and cost indicators, designed a new estimate of the scale of rural-urban migration, \\Migration and economic growth to make the correlation coefficient estimates, verify there is a significant correlation between the two conclusions. On this basis, the use of neoclassical growth theory and growth accounting theory, build rural-urban migration on the economic growth rate model, using the Cobb - Douglas production function model of the contribution rate will be extended, using time series analysis to analyze Jiangsu Provincial rural - urban migration on the economic growth rate, taking advantage of economic indicators, factor inputs indicators and their biodegradable nature, will examine the object down to the economy, industry unit, from the \systematic study of Jiangsu rural - urban migration contribute to economic growth, analysis shows Jiangsu Province rural - urban migration on the economic growth rate and its trend, the final results of the analysis based on the model of how to reasonably guide the flow of Jiangsu rural - urban migration and Distribution and promote economic growth in rural-urban migration and the coordinated development of reference given the appropriate policy recommendations. The study found: Jiangsu Province showing the development of rural-urban migration flat \The rural-urban migration is in the \Meanwhile, Jiangsu province's economy has maintained sustained and rapid growth year after year trend, two, three industries are to achieve a substantial increase in value, from the industry point of view, in the industrialization period of accelerated development of Jiangsu's economic and industrial growth showing a thriving as characteristics of the scene. Jiangsu's economic growth and rural-urban migration has inextricably linked, in quantity, rural-urban migration for economic growth to provide a sufficient labor resources, the structure, the quality of rural-urban migration of labor to economic growth increased year by year into a well-off human capital. From the industry perspective, Jiangsu Province, rural-urban migration of the labor force in most of the distribution of the secondary industry, and the rest is basically related work in the tertiary sector, which makes the rural-urban migration on two, three industries, especially the second Industrial output growth has played an important contribution. From the industry perspective, Jiangsu, total industrial output, the annual average of about 4.5 percentage points from the contribution of rural-urban migration of labor, the contribution rate for each year showing an increasing trend, and the \the increases in rural-urban migration has obvious \

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